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What's New "stlfanbc7"



Trent Epple
@TRENTepple
@stlfanbc7 Did not realize the OBP was that low
Jul-23,2021 21:39
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GB Sports
@BondsSports
@johnrabe @stlfanbc7 I ran to jump on this bandwagon.

Good call @stlfanbc7
Jul-23,2021 20:38
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Just Blew In From Stupid Town
@johnrabe
If you’re wondering about Tommy Edman hitting from the right side against the RHP tonight, the estimable @stlfanbc7 called it last month and lays out the case. #STLCards #STLFly
Jul-23,2021 20:24
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
Re: NHL Draft tonight, I saw this on The Athletic. There are 13 players in the top 3 tiers. Tier 4 spans picks 14-21.

Blues pick 16. If same type of tiers up on their board, I really hope they can trade back to the 19-21 range and recoup picks. Only have 1, 3, 5, 6, 7 this year.

Jul-23,2021 15:01
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
@JonHeyman Still for Hunter and the A ball C/1B/3B?
Jul-23,2021 14:56
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
Good for the hometown kid!
Jul-23,2021 14:54
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
@fuzzyfromyt Oh, and O'Neill has a wRC+ of 130 and Bader has a wRC+ of 108. And at only 27, Bader is a year older than O'Neill.
Jul-23,2021 14:50
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Joshua Huber
@HuberJoshua
@stlfanbc7 I would be shocked if KU + someone else didn’t join the B1G
Jul-23,2021 14:49
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MoKnows-MiniMo
@MoknowsMinimo
"Several reasons why Cardinals should be allowing KK to pitch deeper into games. Now, Shildt and Maddux and other coaches in the offices and on field are privy to more information than myself. I understand that. This is my pitch to have KK pitch more and I think it's a good one."
Jul-23,2021 14:43
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
So if this were the case, you'd almost have to swap out WV for someone right? Maybe a BYU or Boise State or something?

Totally unfair for WV to play mostly west coast games on the road, no?
Jul-23,2021 14:40
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  Latest News
Problem Child.
Jul-23,2021 22:18
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 Breitbart News @BreitbartNews

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Michael
@gorrillarugger
@stlfanbc7 I would imagine it's likely due to him being on the injured list twice and having to ramp endurance back up both times.
Jul-23,2021 14:35
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Andrew Fleming
@awf4hf
@stlfanbc7 Outside the K/BB really well done by your projections
Jul-23,2021 14:33
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
THE CERUTTI 2020 Projections for Kim when he came over (as a starter):

23 starts, 127+ innings
3.24 ERA, 3.44 FIP, 1.43 WHIP
8.4 K/9, 2.5 BB/9, 3.44 K:BB

ACTUAL 2020-21:

24 starts (25 games), 123 1/3 IP
2.48 ERA, 3.69 FIP, 1.127 WHIP
6.6 K/9, 2.9 BB/9, 2.38 K:BB
Jul-23,2021 14:26
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
and a suitable prospect might be a Levi Prater, Ian Bedell, or LJ Jones?

If Rays stuck on wanting a catching prospect, Cardinals have those in spades:

Carlos Soto or Zade Richardson could have done the trick.
Jul-23,2021 14:19
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Scott
@cardvolfan
@stlfanbc7 @kyler416 @birdsontheblack @NChill17 @NickReincarnate I’ve been saying what you statiscally verified for weeks. Especially in light of our bullpen’s propensity to give “free singles” to way too many hitters. Thanks for sharing.
Jul-23,2021 14:17
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
2021 Trade Deadline

Mets acquire Rich Hill from Rays for Tommy Hunter and Matt Dyer.

Dyer is not a known prospect through Prospects Live or MLB Pipeline. 4th round pick (C/1B/3B) out of Arizona in 2020.

#STLFLY could use a Rich Hill. Seems either Miller could be Hunter...con't
Jul-23,2021 14:15
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Nick Childress
@NickReincarnate
@jrlikeswhisky @stlfanbc7 @kyler416 @birdsontheblack @NChill17 I hope not, cause that’s strategy would suck.
Jul-23,2021 14:08
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JR
@jrlikeswhisky
@stlfanbc7 @kyler416 @birdsontheblack @NChill17 @NickReincarnate Do you think they're possibly holding him back to try and keep his numbers and thereby his resign value in check?
Jul-23,2021 14:05
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Prine☭🐒🧠 Yadi Hate Club Leader
@DejongsBigMac
@stlfanbc7 He generates less whiffs and his success is based on deception. So he's more prone to getting squared up the third time through
Jul-23,2021 13:52
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RC Not The Cola
@RC_None_Cola
@stlfanbc7 @KyleShaughness6 @kyler416 Ugh. Okay here it is.

Jul-23,2021 12:49
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  Latest News
Few people were there to witness the #Tokyo2020 opening ceremony. But New York Times photographers were. Here's what they saw. https://t.co/e0rT3Fp3dw
Jul-24,2021 00:07
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 The New York Times @nytimes

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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
My latest at @birdsontheblack. @NChill17 (errr....@nickreincarnate) on the cover art.

If you followed my KK tweetstorm earlier, here's the rest of the information.

https://t.co/KgPVBkMQ99
Jul-23,2021 11:58
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Kyle Eden
@dragonlord741
@scout_stl @stlfanbc7 And they're getting jack back soon, so that's just like making a trade
Jul-23,2021 11:54
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
@RC_None_Cola @KyleShaughness6 @kyler416 You cropped it out.
Jul-23,2021 11:45
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RC Not The Cola
@RC_None_Cola
@KyleShaughness6 @stlfanbc7 @kyler416 After round 10 players can sign for $125K. If the sign above that amount that counts against their bonus pool, but if they sign for less there is no surplus.
Jul-23,2021 11:45
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RC Not The Cola
@RC_None_Cola
@KyleShaughness6 @stlfanbc7 @kyler416 Click on the actual picture
Jul-23,2021 11:43
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Justwin
@JustwinDave
@stlfanbc7 Yes, starting pitching was equally suspect at the start of the season. Also the past durability of O’Neil and Bader has resurfaced this season. Hopefully that is behind them.
Jul-23,2021 11:28
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Kyle Eden
@dragonlord741
@stlfanbc7 With no other context, and assuming even just "average" health and production by the infield, that stat line alone suggests we should be at least 7 games over .500 I would think
Jul-23,2021 11:27
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
@C70 I'll link to it in an article I'm finishing up!
Jul-23,2021 11:22
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Cardinal70
@C70
@stlfanbc7 Just went up about 15 minutes ago.
Jul-23,2021 11:21
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
@C70 Is it already posted?
Jul-23,2021 11:20
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それは氏ブルックス2Uだ
@THEblindhomer
@stlfanbc7 There is a missing piece in the information presented IMHO:

WHEN are they facing the opposition a third time around?

Is it the 6th inning? (Wainwright, for example)

Is it the 4 inning (Gant, for example)
Jul-23,2021 11:19
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Cardinal70
@C70
@stlfanbc7 We discussed KK's usage in the show today. I'd like to see them trust him to go a little longer more often.
Jul-23,2021 11:11
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
Now to the questionable show stopper and the reason for the thread.

KK has 17 GS this season.

He's pitched to the opposition for a 3rd time through the order in just 12 of those 17 games.

The third time through, he's faced only 38% of the batters that he'd seen twice already.
Jul-23,2021 11:10
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
Wade LeBlanc has 5 GS for #STLFLY this season.

He's pitched to the opposition for a 3rd time through the order in just 3 of those 5 games.

The third time through, he's faced only 20% of the batters that he'd seen twice already.

VERY QUICK HOOK!
Jul-23,2021 11:10
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
Jack Flaherty has 11 GS for #STLFLY this season.

He's pitched to the opposition for a 3rd time through the order in 10 of those 11 games.

The third time through, he's faced 58% of the batters that he'd seen twice already.
Jul-23,2021 11:10
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
Johan Oviedo has 12 GS for #STLFLY this season.

He's pitched to the opposition for a 3rd time through the order in just 8 of those 12 games.

The third time through, he's faced 34% of the batters that he'd seen twice already.

EVEN QUICKER hook.
Jul-23,2021 11:10
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
John Gant has 14 GS for #STLFLY this season.

He's pitched to the opposition for a 3rd time through the order in 12 of those 14 games.

The third time through, he's faced just 40% of the batters that he'd seen twice already.

Much quicker hook and rightfully so.
Jul-23,2021 11:10
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
Adam Wainwright has 19 GS for #STLFLY this season.

He's pitched to the opposition for a 3rd time through the order in 18 of those 19 games and faced batters for a fourth time on 4 occasions.

The third time through, he's faced 78% of the batters that he'd seen twice already.
Jul-23,2021 11:10
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Uncle Frank
@frrobinson1957
@stlfanbc7 Yeah. I thought the performance of the OF was the key to the season.
Jul-23,2021 10:44
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St. Louis Cardinals Scout
@scout_stl
@stlfanbc7 Mozeliak won’t do shit at deadline. He ‘likes what they have’ and trading prospects ‘doesn’t fit the Arbitrage.
Jul-23,2021 10:41
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DeWallet Inspector
@O_T_Lee
@stlfanbc7 @tdylf @MoknowsMinimo They *literally* pay a premium for it
Jul-23,2021 10:25
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You’ll Never Be 6’3”
@marlontaylor
@frrobinson1957 @stlfanbc7 The problem isn’t the pen. It’s the rotation. Guys need to be able to go a little deeper so that the pen isn’t stretched so damn thin. We don’t have a horse in the rotation right now. And that is the biggest problem.
Jul-23,2021 10:22
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MoKnows-MiniMo
@MoknowsMinimo
@stlfanbc7 @tdylf Good point.
Jul-23,2021 10:20
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
@tdylf @MoknowsMinimo The Cardinals absolutely adore cost certainty.
Jul-23,2021 10:18
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
@tdylf @MoknowsMinimo I really think they just thought that he wouldn't fall off of a cliff (because who truly did?) and that it'd be worth it to have him through 2021 for sure, when he gets his 10 years in the bigs.
Jul-23,2021 10:18
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Laura 🇦🇲
@hildymac
@stlfanbc7 That’s a good question - I’m not sure if they still have his right or if he’s a UFA.
Jul-23,2021 10:16
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
Also, how good is the Rays' system that instead of 6th and 13th those two prospects were 10th and 17th, respectively, on their list?
Jul-23,2021 10:15
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
2021 Trade Deadline

Braves acquired Steven Vogt from the D-backs for Mason Berne.

Berne does not fit into Arizona's top 30 prospects on MLB Pipeline nor was he on Prospects Live's pre-season Braves prospect list.

#STLFLY has no need for a C & won't trade Kniz for that price.
Jul-23,2021 10:14
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
2021 Trade Deadline

Braves acquired Joc Pederson from the Cubs for Bryce Ball.

Ball fits 29th on MLB Pipeline's Cubs prospect list now.

Cardinals could have traded a Juan Yepez or something for him I suppose.

Cardinals starting outfielders have a 116 wRC+ and are better on D.
Jul-23,2021 10:11
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
Twins also gave up RHP prospect Calvin Faucher who is not on Tampa's top 30 list at MLB Pipeline, nor was he on the pre-season top 35+ list at Prospects Live.
Jul-23,2021 10:09
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G Dubb
@Keeping_Secrets
@stlfanbc7 Plus, we don’t want to block the DH for Pujols’ reunion/farewell tour next year 🤞
Jul-23,2021 10:08
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Tim Deveney
@TimDeveney
@stlfanbc7 I'm disappointed we're not going to have him for his outfield defense
Jul-23,2021 10:08
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
2021 Trade Deadline

Twins trade Nelson Cruz to the Rays for Joe Ryan and Drew Strotman

Ryan - fits 6th on MLB Pipeline's Twins prospect list
Strotman - fits 13th on the same list

#STLFLY don't really have a Cruz comp to trade nor do they have a DH spot to trade for, however.
Jul-23,2021 10:07
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
@hildymac Does he go back to the Capitals in that case?
Jul-23,2021 10:03
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
Last one.

When I do THE GOOD, THE BAD, and THE CERUTTI projections at the beginning of the year, my bad ones for Carpenter were:

.209/.319/.379/.698

He's hitting:

.190/.314/.320/.634
Jul-23,2021 09:48
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
When I do THE GOOD, THE BAD, and THE CERUTTI projections at the beginning of the year, my CERUTTI ones for Yadi were:

.263/.312/.396/.709

He's hitting:

.250/.295/.390/.685
Jul-23,2021 09:47
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
When I do THE GOOD, THE BAD, and THE CERUTTI projections at the beginning of the year, my bad ones for DeJong were:

.216/.290/.385/.676

He's hitting:

.200/.297/.396/.693
Jul-23,2021 09:46
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
When I do THE GOOD, THE BAD, and THE CERUTTI projections at the beginning of the year, my bad ones for Edman were:

.246/.300/.374/.674

He's hitting:

.256/.301/.371/.672
Jul-23,2021 09:45
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
When I do THE GOOD, THE BAD, and THE CERUTTI projections at the beginning of the year, my good ones for O'Neill were:

.264/.335/.520/.855

He's hitting:

.274/.326/.525/.851
Jul-23,2021 09:44
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
When I do THE GOOD, THE BAD, and THE CERUTTI projections at the beginning of the year, my good ones for Bader were:

.260/.356/.462/.818

He's hitting:

.267/.336/.450/.786
Jul-23,2021 09:43
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
When I do THE GOOD, THE BAD, and THE CERUTTI projections at the beginning of the year, my bad ones for Goldy were:

.250/.341/.444/.785

He's hitting:

.269/.341/.451/.792
Jul-23,2021 09:42
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
@TimDeveney Right. Just in a vacuum of "Hey, if JUST this happens in 2021..." prior to the season starting.
Jul-23,2021 09:40
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
When I do THE GOOD, THE BAD, and THE CERUTTI projections at the beginning of the year, my good ones for Carlson were:

.255/.340/.449/.789

He's hitting:

.259/.341/.412/.753
Jul-23,2021 09:39
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Tim Deveney
@TimDeveney
@stlfanbc7 If I wasn't looking at the context that their infield has underperformed offensively, the rotation has been overwhelmed by injuries, and no depth to their pitching staff I'd be absolutely shocked
Jul-23,2021 09:39
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
When I do THE GOOD, THE BAD, and THE CERUTTI projections at the beginning of the year, my bad ones for Arenado were:

.265/.329/.486/.816

He's hitting:

.258/.310/.493/.803
Jul-23,2021 09:38
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BigOldBuck
@_BigOldBuck_
@stlfanbc7 Nope
Jul-23,2021 09:34
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
If I had told you prior to the season that the #STLFLY opening day outfielders would have combined for an offensive stat line that is 16% above league average and the defense was as good or better than expected, would you have believed they'd be 1 over .500 at the 97 game mark?
Jul-23,2021 09:33
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Mike
@mike19922003
@stlfanbc7 Jordan walker for Whit Merrifield?
Jul-23,2021 09:08
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Cardinal70
@C70
@stlfanbc7 @dana_button @NicholasBarnard @stewythefordguy @bschaeffer12 Well, not a lot of people got it right anyway. But yeah, that makes a difference in the top spot. I hope you haven't already spent your winnings!
Jul-23,2021 08:54
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Cardinal70
@C70
@stlfanbc7 @dana_button @NicholasBarnard @stewythefordguy @bschaeffer12 He's right, I missed the Rizzo double. Will recalculate and repost.
Jul-23,2021 08:50
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
@dana_button @C70 @NicholasBarnard @stewythefordguy @bschaeffer12 I feel like mine had to be perfect along with everybody that finished within reach of me.
Jul-23,2021 08:47
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Dana Button
@dana_button
@C70 @NicholasBarnard @stlfanbc7 @stewythefordguy @bschaeffer12 There must be a mistake somewhere on mine too...somewhere...😉😁
Jul-23,2021 08:43
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Cardinal70
@C70
@NicholasBarnard @stlfanbc7 @stewythefordguy @dana_button @bschaeffer12 I’ll look at that. The notes I had just had one XBH in G1. I may have missed it. For me to go this far in the season and not have to rescore a game is pretty rare!
Jul-23,2021 08:41
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Nick_Barnard
@NicholasBarnard
@stlfanbc7 @C70 @stewythefordguy @dana_button @bschaeffer12 I just want my 5 points 😂
Jul-23,2021 07:16
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
@NicholasBarnard @C70 @stewythefordguy @dana_button @bschaeffer12 It was already announced, alright UCF?

🤣
Jul-23,2021 01:00
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
@NicholasBarnard @C70 @stewythefordguy @dana_button @bschaeffer12 Don't you try to take this win from me.
Jul-23,2021 00:59
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Nick_Barnard
@NicholasBarnard
@C70 @stlfanbc7 @stewythefordguy @dana_button @bschaeffer12 I think Q5 is incorrectly scored … Rizzo double in game 1, Goldy double in G3, and Goldy HR in G1?
Jul-23,2021 00:03
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Tim Stewart
@stewythefordguy
@C70 @stlfanbc7 @dana_button @bschaeffer12 Ha when I saw the mention I figured I came in last this week.
Jul-22,2021 23:13
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Cardinal70
@C70
Scores were a little lower on average but @stlfanbc7 took @stewythefordguy's advice and spaced out his win, taking his second in three games. @dana_button's tiebreaker spared @bschaeffer12 from the loss. We were so close.
Jul-22,2021 23:08
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Kyle Shaughnessy
@KyleShaughness6
@RC_None_Cola @stlfanbc7 @kyler416 Also where is McGreevy?
Jul-22,2021 22:03
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Kyle Shaughnessy
@KyleShaughness6
@RC_None_Cola @stlfanbc7 @kyler416 Does the 200k surplus from the later picks not count?
Jul-22,2021 22:01
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Camden Stewart
@Camden_Stewart
@stlfanbc7 @BirdsOnTheBat13 @StewStilez I agree, but I’m just tired of DeJong. I like him as a person, but man as an everyday SS he just isn’t it for us. Hoping to sign a good one this off-season.
Jul-22,2021 21:54
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
@Camden_Stewart @BirdsOnTheBat13 @StewStilez Gonna have to start hitting better. He's not THAT much better than DeJong at SS.
Jul-22,2021 21:52
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Camden Stewart
@Camden_Stewart
@stlfanbc7 @BirdsOnTheBat13 @StewStilez Dude sees the blood in the water, and wants to be the everyday SS. I hope he achieves this goal.
Jul-22,2021 21:48
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
@Koenig4MO What about the flu in 2020?

How many deaths from wearing a mask from 2020?

(In that same sample.)
Jul-22,2021 21:45
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Stew
@StewStilez
@stlfanbc7 seriously though, what a tough SOB
Jul-22,2021 21:44
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
@StewStilez I won't believe that Sosa is truly injured until I see him carried off on a stretcher or walking off the field on his own without talking to anyone.

He's shocked me three different times this year with staying in games that I thought landed him on the IL for something now.
Jul-22,2021 21:44
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
@CheneyAUG @hgomez27 You know all those jokes about Ty Cobb or Stan Musial only hitting .275 nowadays because they'd be 100 years old or whatever...
Jul-22,2021 21:43
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
@Koenig4MO How many deaths from pneumonia in 2020 in that same sample?
Jul-22,2021 21:42
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
@Koenig4MO Because they were at home from mid-March 2020 until August 2020 and then were either home some more or in a school masked up for the entire year (or somewhere in between). And that's with an original strand that's nowhere near as transmissible as the Delta variant.
Jul-22,2021 21:41
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Patrick Murphy
@Patrick11283639
@RC_None_Cola @stlfanbc7 @kyler416 Yeah I looked it up and realized that. Thanks for your opinions on casserole too.
Jul-22,2021 21:41
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
Fans in the stands...Arenado doesn't hit many bombs the opposite way any more. C'mon now. (Last 3 years below)

Jul-22,2021 21:38
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RC Not The Cola
@RC_None_Cola
@Patrick11283639 @stlfanbc7 @kyler416 To answer your question, both guys are only college juniors and could have returned to college. Teams will sometimes kick in a little extra to keep these guys from going back to school.
Jul-22,2021 21:37
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
Do it again Nolan.
Jul-22,2021 21:34
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Patrick Murphy
@Patrick11283639
@stlfanbc7 @RC_None_Cola @kyler416 Lmaooo, I’m a sweet potato guy
Jul-22,2021 21:24
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Kyle Reis
@kyler416
@RC_None_Cola @Patrick11283639 @stlfanbc7 OH MAN, I want to change my answer
Jul-22,2021 21:23
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Ben Cerutti
@stlfanbc7
@RC_None_Cola @kyler416 @Patrick11283639 I like both of those, but hard to argue with a good sweet potato casserole either.
Jul-22,2021 21:23
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RC Not The Cola
@RC_None_Cola
@kyler416 @Patrick11283639 @stlfanbc7 I prefer a good breakfast casserole with eggs, sausage and cheese.
Jul-22,2021 21:22
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Kyle Reis
@kyler416
@Patrick11283639 @RC_None_Cola @stlfanbc7 My favorite casserole is cheesy potato casserole
Jul-22,2021 21:19
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Patrick Murphy
@Patrick11283639
@RC_None_Cola @stlfanbc7 @kyler416 What are the odds they sign casseroles too? Also why did they go over on some of 11-20 picks if they’re not high schoolers?
Jul-22,2021 21:18
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